Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.051871 0.059366 0.067627 0.077419 0.088722 0.101378 0.116645
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.040547 0.050765 0.063135 0.079264 0.099814 0.125220 0.159168
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.033411 0.044436 0.058658 0.078446 0.105430 0.141170 0.192476
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.029738 0.041551 0.057602 0.081166 0.115162 0.162856 0.235585
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.025319 0.036858 0.053230 0.078373 0.116412 0.172445 0.262410
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.022242 0.033580 0.050299 0.077031 0.119239 0.184212 0.293534
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.019319 0.030124 0.046612 0.073938 0.118766 0.190562 0.316587
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018210 0.029303 0.046803 0.076847 0.128024 0.213259 0.369295
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017227 0.028544 0.046964 0.079646 0.137322 0.236995 0.426880
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016349 0.027844 0.047110 0.082373 0.146725 0.261911 0.489862
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015027 0.026236 0.045527 0.081848 0.150187 0.276501 0.535367
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014025 0.025077 0.044591 0.082348 0.155524 0.295064 0.590960
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012971 0.023747 0.043259 0.082052 0.159484 0.311818 0.646091
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012352 0.023158 0.043234 0.084262 0.168653 0.340057 0.729629
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011412 0.021864 0.041738 0.083384 0.171428 0.355549 0.787759
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011003 0.021553 0.042100 0.086286 0.182392 0.389565 0.892555
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009999 0.019962 0.039764 0.083306 0.180351 0.395086 0.931843
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009255 0.018826 0.038239 0.081875 0.181520 0.407832 0.990267
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008407 0.017397 0.035971 0.078576 0.178064 0.409520 1.021490
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008207 0.017319 0.036546 0.081678 0.189803 0.448401 1.153741
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008005 0.017213 0.037047 0.084664 0.201622 0.489007 1.297157
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.007803 0.017091 0.037497 0.087573 0.213607 0.531597 1.453046
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.007356 0.016374 0.036544 0.087013 0.216828 0.552201 1.550532